Lynn Wingard 2010 project http://sofia.usgs.gov/projects/index.php?project_url=salinity_values The primary objective of this project is to provide information to Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) managers that can be used to establish target salinity values and performance measures for the estuaries and coastal ecosystems. The information provided will consider the contribution of climate, sea level rise, and anthropogenic alteration of salinity values in the estuaries and coastal ecosystems. The four areas of focus for the project are: 1. Refine existing modern analog dataset by completing analyses of modern samples collected between 1996 and 2004 and applying the data to core data compiled in the Synthesis Task 2. Collect new cores (if necessary) within the southern estuaries to fill in information gaps identified by the land management agencies (Everglades National Park (ENP), and Biscayne National Park (BNP) and the Southern Estuaries Subteam of the Regional Evaluation Team (RET) of Restoration Coordination and Verification (RECOVER) 3. Select a few sites in the transition zones to collect cores in a transect moving perpendicular to shore to analyze the rate of sea level rise in the region 4. Work with collaborators to input all of the combined paleoecology data into linear regression models that can hindcast salinity for different parts of the system The importance and application of ecosystem history research to restoration goals has been previously identified. The Department of the Interior (DOI) Science Plan lists as one of three primary restoration activities the need to "ensure that hydrologic performance targets accurately reflect the natural predrainage hydrology and ecology". The primary goal of this project is to determine the predrainage and ecology of critical regions within the estuaries and coastal ecosystems of south Florida identified by the groups charged with setting performance measures and targets for these coastal zones. 20061001 20100930 ground condition In Work As needed -81.6 -80 26 24.5 none salinity chemistry hydrology ISO 19115 Topic Category environment inlandWaters oceans 007 012 014 Department of Commerce, 1995, Countries, Dependencies, Areas of Special Sovereignty, and Their Principal Administrative Divisions, Federal Information Processing Standard (FIPS) 10-4, Washington, DC, National Institute of Standards and Technology United States US U.S. Department of Commerce, 1987, Codes for the identification of the States, the District of Columbia and the outlying areas of the United States, and associated areas (Federal Information Processing Standard 5-2): Washington, DC, NIST Florida FL Department of Commerce, 1990, Counties and Equivalent Entities of the United States, Its Possessions, and Associated Areas, FIPS 6-3, Washington, DC, National Institute of Standards and Technology Collier County Lee County Monroe County USGS Geographic Names Information System Everglades National Park Big Cypress National Preserve Biscayne National Park Ten Thousand Islands NWR none Central Everglades SW Big Cypress South East Coast none none Lynn Wingard U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-5352 703 648-6953 lwingard@usgs.gov Current project personnel include: T. Cronin, M. Marot, J. Murray, C. Bernhardt, T. Colley, T. Sheehan, B. Stackhouse. D. Willard, and F. Marshall Previous project personnel include: C. Holmes, W. B. Schill, R. Ortiz, C. Budet, K. Waylen, J. Hudley, Wolfert-Lohmann, M. A. Langevin, C. D.; Jones, S. A.; Reich, C. D.; Wingard, G. L.; Kuffner, I. B.; Cunningham, K. J. 2008 publication USGS Open-File Report 2007-1288 Reston, VA U.S. Geological Survey accessed as of 5/4/2011 http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2007/1288/ Wingard, G. L. Hudley, J. W.; Marshall, F. E. 2010 publication USGS Fact Sheet 2010-3407 Reston, VA U.S. Geological Survey accessed as of 5/16/2011 http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3047/index.html Marshall, III, F. E. Wingard, G. L.; Pitts, P. 2009 publication Estuaries and Coasts v. 32, n. 1, p. 37-53 Port Republic, MD Coastal and Estuarine Research Federation (CERF) accessed as of 5/16/2011 http://www.springerlink.com/content/q51314875513114x/fulltext.pdf Murray, J. B. Wingard, G. L.; Cronin, T. M.; Orem, W. H.; Willard, D. A.; Holmes, C. W.; Reich, C.; Shinn, E.; Marot, M,; Lerch, T.; Trappe, C.; Landacre, B. 2010 publication USGS Open-File Report 2010-1125 Reston, VA U.S. Geological Survey accessed as of 5/16/2011 http://sofia.usgs.gov/publications/ofr/2010-1125/index.html not available not available Development of salinity targets for CERP through application of paleoecologic data Modern proxy data have been compiled and tested against known salinities and shown to be a reliable indicator of salinity with a correlation coefficient of 0.8 at a 95% confidence level. These results were presented to members of the Southern Esutaries Sub-Team of RECOVER and at the National Conference on Ecosystem Restoration in April 2007. Collaboration on the development of salinity targets with the Southern Estuaries sub-team has continued, and a set of preliminary salinity targets has been developed. The paleosalinity values provided by our project have been successfully used by modelers to hindcast stage height in the terrestrial Everglades 2008 Lynn Wingard U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-5352 703 648-6953 lwingard@usgs.gov Assessment of sea level rise in South Florida's estuaries In FY 2007 the plan is to select a few sites in the transition zones to collect cores in an transect moving perpendicular to shore in order to analyze the rate of sea level rise in the region. Existing datasets on sea level change will be gathered and compiled. 2008 Tom Cronin U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-6363 703 648-6953 tcronin@usgs.gov Development of Salinity Targets for CERP through application of Paleoecologic Data In FY08, we will analyze all existing core data using the modern molluscan proxy data set developed in FY07. These results will be compared to other proxy data, and summary interpretations published. Additional modern collections will be made in the nearshore and infaunal communities of the estuaries to fine tune the proxy data sets. We will continue our collaboration with the Southern Estuaries Sub-Team and the modelers using our paleosalinity data in regression analyses 2009 Lynn Wingard U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-5352 703 648-6953 lwingard@usgs.gov Assessment of sea level rise in South Florida’s estuaries Collection of new cores was delayed in FY07 while we completed analyses of the SW coastal cores from the Ecosystem History of the Southwest Coast-Shark River Slough Outflow Area Project. We believe these cores will illustrate general sea level patterns in southern Florida that can then be tested in Florida Bay and Biscayne Bay if necessary. We are continuing to compile existing data sets on sea level change and hope to initiate collaboration with Florida Gulf Coast University in FY08. 2010 Tom Cronin U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-6363 703 648-6953 tcronin@usgs.gov Development of salinity targets for CERP through application of paleoecologic data We will continue in FY10 to provide information on flow, stage and salinity for the pre-drainage Everglades to the Southern Coastal Systems subteam of RECOVER. We will utilize the models developed by Dr. Frank Marshall (contractor, Cetacean Logic Foundation) coupled with paleoecologic data from USGS cores. At least two additional cores from Florida Bay will be analyzed in FY10. (Individual reports will release the core data.) Our plan is to complete work on Florida Bay, and to develop a "consensus" pre-drainage hydrologic regime for Florida Bay. This information will be presented orally and/or in report form to the Southern Coastal Systems subteam of RECOVER. In addition, we will compile the information for a manuscript on the pre-drainage hydrology of Florida Bay for submission to a peer-reviewed journal. Work will expand in FY10 from Florida Bay to begin applying the coupled paleoecology - linear regression models to cores from Southwest Coastal area (Shark River Slough Transect). At least one core from this area will be incorporated into the linear regression models in FY10. Additionally, improvements to our modern analog data set will continue. We will identify/refine the modern ecologic constraints for a few key species found in the cores. A faunal/floral association found in the southwest coastal area will be investigated as potential indicators for the critical freshwater/estuarine transition zone. This work will be conducted in conjunction with Impacts of Hydrologic and Climatic Change on Greater Everglades Marl Prairies, Marshes, and Sloughs (Willard, PI). Not complete Lynn Wingard U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-5352 703 648-6953 lwingard@usgs.gov Development of salinity targets for CERP through application of paleoecologic data FY2011 efforts will be focused on synthesizing the paleosalinity data on all of south Florida's estuaries to develop a regional overview of the changes that have occurred in the Southern Coastal Systems. These data will include the faunal and floral analyses that have been conducted over the years, as well as the linear regression models developed by Frank Marshall. By including Frank Marshall's models, we are able to estimate the freshwater stage and flow in the wetlands required to produce the paleosalinities derived from the biotic analyses. Not complete Lynn Wingard U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

926A National Center

Reston VA 20192 USA 703 648-5352 703 648-6953 lwingard@usgs.gov Everglades National Park and Florida Bay Heather S. Henkel U.S. Geological Survey mailing address

600 Fourth St. South

St. Petersburg FL 33701 USA 727 803-8747 ext 3028 727 803-2030 hhenkel@usgs.gov Ecosystem History of South Florida Estuaries Data The field data contained in this database have been compiled, standardized and verified to the original records. MS Access 2007 The Access database is available as a zipped file The file must be "unzipped" before use 3.2 http://sofia.usgs.gov/exchange/flaecohist/ The database may be downloaded from the SOFIA website none 20110516 Heather Henkel U.S. Geological Survey mailing and physical address

600 Fourth Street South

St. Petersburg FL 33701 USA 727 803-8747 ext 3028 727 803-2030 sofia-metadata@usgs.gov Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata FGDC-STD-001-1998 none This metadata record may have been copied from the SOFIA website and may not be the most recent version. Please check http://sofia.usgs.gov/metadata to be sure you have the most recent version.